Estimates & Projections
2012 Estimates; 2015, 2017 and 2022 Projections
The MapInfo Canadian Estimates and Projections database variables are "updated" from their Census 2006 values. MapInfo estimates and projections for Canada are updated annually. The reference date for the data is always July 1, which is considered the midpoint for the reference year.
The estimation and projection methodology involves a combination of top-down methods (national to census subdivision), using traditional demographic techniques, and bottom-up methods (dissemination area to census subdivision) using demographic techniques along with proprietary spatial modeling techniques. Significant efforts are applied to the task of integrating the latest Statistics Canada data into the MapInfo Canada demographic update process. The 2006 census information is used as the benchmark for all of the estimates and projections in this release
The principal population characteristics in the Estimates and Projections database are age and sex. These characteristics are derived through a cohort component method that takes into account the aging of the population, mortality rates by age and sex, fertility rates, and differential migration by age and sex.
The principal household characteristics in the Estimates and Projections database are age of household maintainer and household income. The distribution of households by age of maintainer is derived from the cohort component model results and the probabilities associated with a person in a given age group being the primary maintainer of a household as defined by Statistics Canada. Household Income is derived from an economic-demographic model developed in part by Strategic Projections, Inc. for higher levels of geography. For smaller geographic layers, including Dissemination Areas, income trends based on census information are combined with regional income trends in order to estimate and project household income. The distribution of households by income is derived from a process which advances census-based income distributions in a manner consistent with the trend in average income for a DA. All income figures are given in current year dollars for each year of the series. Note that this presentation does not involve the use of an income deflator to take into account inflation.
